Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 18.114038 20.677279 23.600978 27.210174 31.583934 36.762075 43.430874
2025-08-03 15.138693 18.438823 22.550680 28.149992 35.737056 45.907875 61.024277
2025-08-10 12.984501 16.467749 21.058384 27.728316 37.489116 51.804832 75.555032
2025-08-17 11.472318 15.005601 19.868664 27.307700 38.902656 57.259794 90.854744
2025-08-24 10.380658 13.930536 18.998018 27.100640 40.453032 63.119387 108.665652
2025-08-31 9.374359 12.838402 17.929754 26.369471 40.937719 67.191699 124.537087
2025-09-07 8.647674 12.066912 17.230359 26.085737 42.069308 72.626283 145.336204
2025-09-14 7.822381 11.062953 16.053319 24.827824 41.201187 73.945107 157.304513
2025-09-21 7.095377 10.147020 14.923612 23.500104 39.964307 74.202622 166.789627
2025-09-28 6.582190 9.524002 14.208710 22.810696 39.838537 76.807800 183.862693
2025-10-05 6.794287 10.069163 15.472769 25.870961 47.850409 100.320897 278.376258
2025-10-12 6.623428 9.969776 15.621227 26.841590 51.645995 114.972676 357.107518
2025-10-19 6.179542 9.395926 14.910933 26.088649 51.553107 119.637199 403.310714
2025-10-26 6.007065 9.272134 14.999501 26.976869 55.559122 137.776587 533.020147
2025-11-02 5.680936 8.855486 14.508097 26.578179 56.301211 146.261607 626.658399
2025-11-09 5.385835 8.472349 14.045281 26.180357 56.970022 154.881446 736.800598
2025-11-16 5.141098 8.162123 13.694386 25.984479 58.148694 165.932626 887.603831
2025-11-23 4.860948 7.769987 13.153249 25.292584 57.815361 171.296367 1007.986836
2025-11-30 4.649553 7.490630 12.812283 25.024001 58.657672 181.861271 1207.626098
2025-12-07 4.357248 7.045933 12.111328 23.832644 56.549993 179.293009 1266.718359
2025-12-14 4.077833 6.612360 11.407866 22.574056 54.055470 174.312567 1292.195918
2025-12-21 3.878027 6.318464 10.970363 21.920075 53.335808 177.228263 1434.128297
2025-12-28 4.029313 6.693875 11.929895 24.820660 64.646078 245.291360 3056.956225